Fraud Detection

Farix Machine Learning solution analyses equipment working conditions and predicts potential failures and downtime

WHY IS IT IMPORTANT

to Predict Equipment Failures?

Timely prediction of equipment faults and failures helps decrease costs for maintenance and repairs, as well as avoid total failure and unwanted repair and replacement costs. Subsequent financial losses can be not only direct, but also indirect – loss of customer confidence and deterioration of the image can cause a long-term decline in profits and outflow of customers. Using predictive analytics to predict breakdowns avoids such problems.

The predictive model answers two questions: what will break and when will break. Equipment failure prediction is carried out both on the basis of accumulated data and data received in real time.

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Step 1: Data collection

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Step 2: Noise elimination

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Step 3: Creating attributes

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Step 4: Model balancing

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Step 5: Model training

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Step 6: Model validation

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Step 7:Building forecasts

SOURCE DATA

for Forecasting

The more data sources are employed in searching for dependencies, the higher is the faults forecasting quality. “Useful” signal can be detected in very unexpected sources.

Specifics of a Fault

PREDICTION TASK

Lack of balance between positive and negative cases
Lack of relevant data from equipment sensors (no values or the same values)
Data is of high-dimentionality, but disparse
In how much time is a fault going to occur?

Linear regression

Gradient boosting on decision trees – regression

Neural networks, deep learning

Classification (will/will not break down) during a particular time period

Logistic regressionЛогистическая регрессия

Gradient boosting on decision trees – classification

Neural networks, deep learning

Advantages of Models Based

ON DEEP LEARNING

Work with time sequences
Can memorise and generalize a large number of patterns
Easily scalable
Flexible when choosing
attributes